Voter surveys at odds over outcome of new elections

Metroscopia voter survey results as of 30th April 2016. Graphic: El País
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• Abstentionism projected to help Rajoy’s PP win elections with 29% of vote
• Polls differ on whether Podemos-IU pact could relegate PSOE to third place

Results of two new voter surveys released Sunday indicate the conservative Partido Popular (PP) of acting-Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy may fare better in upcoming June 26th general elections than in first-round balloting on Dec. 20th, though the polls are at odds over the fate of the leading opposition Socialist party (PSOE) as a result of an anticipated electoral pact between anti-austerity party Podemos and the Izquierda Unida (United Left) coalition.

A voter survey by polling organization Metroscopia published by the daily El País anticipates a lower voter turnout that could help the PP win 29 percent of the vote, while a separate poll by GAD3 appearing in the daily ABC similarly shows the PP winning 29.3 percent for a total of 129 seats in Congress, or six more than it won in the Dec. 20th balloting.

With Podemos and IU currently in talks aimed at forming an electoral pact in the June balloting, the two polls released Sunday are at odds over how that alliance could impact PSOE’s standing after the election: the Metroscopia survey projects a Podemos-IU alliance would win 22.3 percent of the vote, surpassing the Socialists 20.3 percent; the GAD3 survey projects PSOE hanging its position as largest opposition party with 22.3 percent, with Podemos-IU finishing in third place with 20.9 percent.

► Read More in Spanish at EcoDiario, El País and ABC …

► Read More in Spanish at The Spain Report and Reuters …

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