• Governing conservative PP will fall far short of absolute majority
• PSOE, Ciudadanos neck-and-neck in two surveys, Podemos lagging in fourth
While multiple election polls released just as Spain’s political parties were launching their campaigns for the upcoming general elections varied in their projections, all showed that whoever wins the most votes on Dec. 20th will almost certainly need to strike a coalition deal in order to be able to govern the country.
The respected Metroscopia polling organization released survey results on Nov. 30th showing a dead heat between the governing conservative Partido Popular (PP), the opposition Socialist party (PSOE) and the new centre-right party, Ciudadanos, each within a hair of each other at 22.7 percent, 22.6 percent and 22.5 percent of the vote, respectively. Insurgent-left party Podemos trailed their rivals, according to Metroscopia, with just 17.1 percent of the vote nationwide.
Results of the GESOP election poll were published on Dec. 1st, showing the PP ahead with 23.9 percent of the vote, with the PSOE trailing at 21.4 percent, followed by Ciudadanos at 21 percent and Podemos at 16 percent. The survey showed the PP falling far short of the necessary 176 votes to obtain an absolute majority in Congress, its vote total translating into somewhere between 98-102 congressional seats.
The CIS poll, meanwhile, showed the most divergent results among pre-election surveys, with the PP’s anticipated 28.6 percent of the vote far ahead of the PSOE’s 20.8 percent, while Ciudadanos came in at 19 percent and Podemos at 15.7%.
Graphics of each of the respective polls can be seen at: